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The Only Probability is Verbal Probability

Författare

  • George Masterton

Summary, in English

In 1977 van Fraassen showed convincingly, and in detail, how one can

give a dissentive answer to the question “[a]re there necessities in nature?”. In

this paper, I follow his lead and show in a similar fashion and detail, how it is 5

possible to give a dissentive answer to: Are there probabilities in nature? This is

achieved by giving a partial analysis – with the aid of Kaplanian pragmatics – of

objective chance in terms of that credence that is reasonable where prevailing

laws and conditions exhaust one’s evidence. This template belongs firmly within

the established Bayesian program of analysing objective chance as ultimate 10

belief. Its contribution to that program is the same as van Fraassen’s contribution

to the empiricist program of analysing physical necessity; namely, it demonstrates the logical possibility of such an analysis.

Avdelning/ar

Publiceringsår

2014

Språk

Engelska

Sidor

69-84

Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie

Metaphysica

Volym

15

Issue

1

Dokumenttyp

Artikel i tidskrift

Förlag

Springer

Ämne

  • Philosophy

Nyckelord

  • objective probability
  • physical necessity
  • van Fraassen
  • empiricism

Status

Published

ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt

  • ISSN: 1437-2053