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Spatio-Temporal Estimation for Mixture Models and Gaussian Markov Random Fields - Applications to Video Analysis and Environmental Modelling

Författare

Summary, in English

In this thesis computationally intensive methods are used to estimate models and to make inference for large, spatio-temporal data sets. The thesis is divided into two parts: the first two papers are concerned with video analysis, while the last three papers model and investigate

environmental data from the Sahel area in northern Africa.



In the first part of the thesis, mixture models are used to

distinguish between moving (foreground) and stationary (background) pixels in video sequences. A recursive estimator for mixtures of Gaussians is derived using an expectation maximisation (EM) algorithm. It is shown that the recursive estimator can be interpreted in a Bayesian framework. With some additional steps, the estimator is

used to construct an algorithm that segments video frames into foreground and background pixels.



Additionally, an extension to existing segmentation algorithms that detects and adjusts for rapid changes in illumination is presented. This extension is shown to work for two segmentation algorithms that model the pixel values using Gaussian mixtures.



In the second part of the thesis, environmental data sets, consisting of precipitation measurements and satellite derived vegetation indices, are examined. First, calibration issues for the vegetation index data are investigated. Thereafter, a Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) model for estimation of spatially dependent trends is constructed. The parameters in the GMRF model are estimated using an EM algorithm, and the performance of the model is evaluated using simulated data. The model is used to analyse temporal trends in the vegetation data.



Finally, a spatio-temporal GMRF model is used to interpolate the precipitation measurements. The model is created by extending a spatial GMRF to a spatio-temporal model with a first order auto-regressive dependence in time. The spatial part of the model consists of a

GMRF that approximates a field with isotropic Matérn covariance. To obtain a model that is defined where the precipitation measurements were taken the spatial GMRF is constructed on a set of irregularly spaced points on the globe. The model is estimated using a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach and the formulation as a Markov field allows for efficient computations, even though the field has more than 30000 nodes.

Publiceringsår

2008

Språk

Engelska

Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie

Doctoral Theses in Mathematical Sciences

Volym

4

Dokumenttyp

Doktorsavhandling

Förlag

Lund University

Ämne

  • Probability Theory and Statistics

Nyckelord

  • vegetation
  • time series analysis
  • video segmentation
  • spatio-temporal modelling
  • precipitation
  • Markov chain Monte Carlo
  • Gaussian Markov random fields
  • expectation maximisation
  • change point detection
  • Bayesian recursive estimation
  • African Sahel
  • adaptive Gaussian mixtures

Status

Published

Handledare

ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt

  • ISSN: 1404-0034
  • ISBN: 978-91-628-7502-2

Försvarsdatum

23 maj 2008

Försvarstid

09:15

Försvarsplats

Room MH:C, Mathematics Building, Sölvegatan 18, Faculty of Engineering, Lund university, Lund

Opponent

  • Håvard Rue (Prof)