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Calibrating floor field cellular automaton models for pedestrian dynamics by using likelihood function optimization

Författare

Summary, in English

The formulation of pedestrian floor field cellular automaton models is generally based on hypothetical assumptions to represent reality. This paper proposes a novel methodology to calibrate these models using experimental trajectories. The methodology is based on likelihood function optimization and allows verifying whether the parameters defining a model statistically affect pedestrian navigation. Moreover, it allows comparing different model specifications or the parameters of the same model estimated using different data collection techniques, e.g. virtual reality experiment, real data, etc. The methodology is here implemented using navigation data collected in a Virtual Reality tunnel evacuation experiment including 96 participants. A trajectory dataset in the proximity of an emergency exit is used to test and compare different metrics, i.e. Euclidean and modified Euclidean distance, for the static floor field. In the present case study, modified Euclidean metrics provide better fitting with the data. A new formulation using random parameters for pedestrian cellular automaton models is also defined and tested.

Publiceringsår

2015

Språk

Engelska

Sidor

308-320

Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications

Volym

438

Dokumenttyp

Artikel i tidskrift

Förlag

Elsevier

Ämne

  • Other Physics Topics

Nyckelord

  • Pedestrian navigation
  • Path-finding
  • Model calibration
  • Cellular automaton model
  • Maximum likelihood
  • Virtual reality
  • tunnel evacuation

Status

Published

Forskningsgrupp

  • Evacuation

ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt

  • ISSN: 0378-4371