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Modelling the impact of climate change and atmospheric N deposition on French forests biodiversity.

In English

Författare

  • Simon Rizzetto
  • Salim Belyazid
  • Jean-Claude Gégout
  • Manuel Nicolas
  • Didier Alard
  • Emmanuel Corcket
  • Noémie Gaudio
  • Harald Sverdrup
  • Anne Probst

Summary, in English

A dynamic coupled biogeochemical-ecological model was used to simulate the effects of nitrogen deposition and climate change on plant communities at three forest sites in France. The three sites had different forest covers (sessile oak, Norway spruce and silver fir), three nitrogen loads ranging from relatively low to high, different climatic regions and different soil types. Both the availability of vegetation time series and the environmental niches of the understory species allowed to evaluate the model for predicting the composition of the three plant communities. The calibration of the environmental niches was successful, with a model performance consistently reasonably high throughout the three sites. The model simulations of two climatic and two deposition scenarios showed that climate change may entirely compromise the eventual recovery from eutrophication of the simulated plant communities in response to the reductions in nitrogen deposition. The interplay between climate and deposition was strongly governed by site characteristics and histories in the long term, while forest management remained the main driver of change in the short term.

Publiceringsår

2016-01-22

Språk

Engelska

Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie

Environmental Pollution

Dokumenttyp

Artikel i tidskrift

Förlag

Elsevier

Ämne

  • Climate Research

Status

Published

ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt

  • ISSN: 0269-7491