Javascript verkar inte påslaget? - Vissa delar av Lunds universitets webbplats fungerar inte optimalt utan javascript, kontrollera din webbläsares inställningar.
Du är här

Biodiversity - Global biodiversity scenarios for the year 2100

  • O E Sala
  • F S Chapin
  • J J Armesto
  • E Berlow
  • J Bloomfield
  • R Dirzo
  • E Huber-Sanwald
  • L F Huenneke
  • R B Jackson
  • A Kinzig
  • R Leemans
  • D M Lodge
  • H A Mooney
  • M Oesterheld
  • N L Poff
  • Martin Sykes
  • B H Walker
  • M Walker
  • D H Wall
Publiceringsår: 2000
Språk: Engelska
Sidor: 1770-1774
Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie: Science
Volym: 287
Nummer: 5459
Dokumenttyp: Artikel i tidskrift
Förlag: The American Association for the Advancement of Science


Scenarios of changes in biodiversity for the year 2100 can now be developed based on scenarios of changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide, climate, vegetation, and Land use and the known sensitivity of biodiversity to these changes. This study identified a ranking of the importance of drivers of change, a ranking of the biomes with respect to expected changes, and the major sources of uncertainties. For terrestrial ecosystems, land-use change probably wilt have the largest effect, followed by climate change, nitrogen deposition, biotic exchange, and elevated carbon dioxide concentration. For freshwater ecosystems, biotic exchange is much more important. Mediterranean climate and grassland ecosystems likely will experience the greatest proportional change in biodiversity because of the substantial influence of all drivers of biodiversity change. Northern temperate ecosystems are estimated to experience the least biodiversity change because major land-use change has already occurred. Plausible changes in biodiversity in other biomes depend on interactions among the causes of biodiversity change. These interactions represent one of the largest uncertainties in projections of future biodiversity change.


  • Physical Geography


  • ISSN: 1095-9203

Box 117, 221 00 LUND
Telefon 046-222 00 00 (växel)
Telefax 046-222 47 20
lu [at] lu [dot] se

Fakturaadress: Box 188, 221 00 LUND
Organisationsnummer: 202100-3211
Om webbplatsen