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From meta-studies to modeling: Using synthesis knowledge to build broadly applicable process-based land change models

In English

Författare

  • Nicholas R. Magliocca
  • Jasper van Vliet
  • Calum Brown
  • Tom P. Evans
  • Thomas Houet
  • Peter Messerli
  • Joseph P. Messina
  • Kimberly Nicholas
  • Christine Ornetsmuller
  • Julian Sagebiel
  • Vanessa Schweizer
  • Peter H. Verburg
  • Qiangyi Yu
Visa allt

Summary, in English

This paper explores how meta-studies can support the development of process-based land change models (LCMs) that can be applied across locations and scales. We describe a multi-step framework for model development and provide descriptions and examples of how meta-studies can be used in each step. We conclude that meta-studies best support the conceptualization and experimentation phases of the model development cycle, but cannot typically provide full model parameterizations. Moreover, meta-studies are particularly useful for developing agent-based LCMs that can be applied across a wide range of contexts, locations, and/or scales, because meta-studies provide both quantitative and qualitative data needed to derive agent behaviors more readily than from case study or aggregate data sources alone. Recent land change synthesis studies provide sufficient topical breadth and depth to support the development of broadly applicable process-based LCMs, as well as the potential to accelerate the production of generalized knowledge through model-driven synthesis. (C) 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Publiceringsår

2015

Språk

Engelska

Sidor

10-20

Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie

Environmental Modelling & Software

Volym

72

Dokumenttyp

Artikel i tidskrift

Förlag

Elsevier

Ämne

  • Environmental Sciences

Nyckelord

  • Land use change
  • Model development
  • Meta-analysis
  • Synthesis
  • Model
  • validation
  • Agent-based models

Status

Published

ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt

  • ISSN: 1364-8152