A problem for confirmation theoretic accounts of the conjunction fallacy
Författare
Summary, in English
This paper raises a principled objection against the idea that Bayesian confirmation theory can be used to explain the conjunction fallacy. The paper demonstrates that confirmation-based explanations are limited in scope and can only be applied to cases of the fallacy of a certain restricted kind. In particular; confirmation-based explanations cannot account for the inverse conjunction fallacy, a more recently discovered form of the conjunction fallacy. Once the problem has been set out, the paper explores four different ways for the confirmation theorist to come to terms with the problem, and argues that none of them are successful.
Avdelning/ar
Publiceringsår
2016
Språk
Engelska
Sidor
437-449
Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie
Philosophical Studies
Volym
173
Issue
2
Dokumenttyp
Artikel i tidskrift
Förlag
Springer
Ämne
- Philosophy
Nyckelord
- Conjunction fallacy
- Inverse conjunction fallacy
- Bayesian epistemology
- Bayesian confirmation theory
- Formal measures of confirmation
Status
Published
ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt
- ISSN: 0031-8116