Method for describing and analysing cascading effects in past events: Initial conclusions and findings
Författare
Summary, in English
Knowledge about the nature, processes and patterns of cascading effects, i.e. where infrastruc-ture dependencies lead to impacts propagating from one system to other systems, is essential in order to miti-gate and respond to crises that involve critical infrastructures and societal functions. This paper presents a method for systematic description of cascading effects in past event, to some extent currently lacking in the scientific literature. The purpose is to enable systematic descriptions of key characteristics of cascading effects from existing empirical data of past events, i.e. written material in terms of official reports, investigations, or media reports. The method is applied on 16 past events in order to test its applicability. Initial analyses and potential uses of the collected data are discussed with respect to gaining deeper empirical insight of cascading effects, which can be useful for decision-making and support modelling and simulations efforts in the area of critical infrastructure protection.
Avdelning/ar
- Industriell elektroteknik och automation
- Centre for Societal Resilience
- Avdelningen för Riskhantering och Samhällssäkerhet
Publiceringsår
2015
Språk
Engelska
Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie
[Host publication title missing]
Dokumenttyp
Konferensbidrag
Förlag
ESREL2015
Ämne
- Other Engineering and Technologies not elsewhere specified
Nyckelord
- Cascading Effects
- Infrastructure
- Risk
- Vulnerability
- Societal Consequences
Conference name
European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2015)
Conference date
2015-09-07 - 2015-09-10
Status
Published
Forskningsgrupp
- LUCRAM (Lund University Center for Risk Analysis and Management